Logan Paul has almost no chance to beat Mayweather when the YouTube star squares off against one of the best boxers of the last half-century on June 6. But that hasn’t stopped more bettors from wagering on Paul to somehow pull off the massive upset in the Showtime PPV event. Yes, the Paul vs. Mayweather odds massively favor the actual boxer, but people are still finding enough value to continue putting their money on Paul.
As of this writing, Paul is a +700 underdog (win $700 on a $100 bet) on BetOnline.ag, while Mayweather is a -1500 favorite (win $100 on a $1,500 bet). But clearly the money has come in on Paul, who is 0-1 in his pro boxing career compared to Mayweather’s record of 50-0.
In late April, Mayweather was a -2000 favorite with Paul’s money line at +900. Originally, Mayweather was as much as a -5000 favorite, and Paul was +1500. But the money lines keep narrowing.
According to OddsChecker spokesman Kyle Newman on Tuesday, 50.2% of the bets placed on the fight have been put on Paul in the previous seven days. While only 46.6% of the wagers have been for Mayweather, that’s still 7% more from the prior week. So even though Paul is still the favorite among bettors, that enthusiasm is declining as the money lines shrink. Meanwhile, 3.3% of bettors are wagering on a draw.
“The odds are too good to pass up Paul, at least that’s what the betting data says,” Newman said. “Despite Paul seemingly having no chance to defeat one of the greatest boxers of all time, bettors continue to back him. Why? The answer seems to be simple, Mayweather isn’t worth betting on at -1600.”
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Mayweather’s -1600 money line still gives him an implied chance to win of more than 94%. In reality, Mayweather has a 99.9% chance to win. But that hasn’t stopped people from believing that the taller, heavier Paul can somehow defeat Mayweather.
Even former light heavyweight titlist Jean Pascal, who will face Badou Jack on the Showtime PPV undercard, had nice things to say about the boxing neophyte.
“The reason Logan Paul has all my respect is that right now he’s training with me in Puerto Rico,” Pascal told Radio Canada. “He moved his training camp to Puerto Rico. I did sparring with him and I can tell you that he impressed me. For a beginner he is very good. He is very agile. He is versatile.”
The former WBA light heavyweight champion wants his belt back.
Badou Jack is aiming to win back the WBA light heavyweight title when he faces Jean Pascal on June 6.
The 37-year-old two-division champion will face Pascal as part of the Floyd Mayweather vs. Logan Paul card, with Jack part of the Mayweather Promotions stable.
Many observers felt that Jack had done enough to keep his title when he fought in December 2019 but the decision went the other way, and the fighter is keen to set the record straight, focusing more on revenge than he is the WBA title.
Speaking to the DAZN Boxing Show , he said: “I feel great, I’m confident. I feel like I won the first fight. I’m going to finish what we started.
“It’s easier said than done but that’s what I want. It’s happened too many times. I have a new trainer, Johnathon Banks, I feel great, I’m very confident and I can’t wait.
“I guess, to be honest I don’t really care about the title, I just want my win back. That’s just a bonus.”
Asked about a next fight against the division’s other champions. Artur Beterbiev and Dmitry Bivol, Jack dismissed any other opponent apart from the one on the horizon.
“Right now all the focus is Pascal, I don’t look past him, nobody else. I don’t think about moving up a weight.”
Looking back to the defeat, the American suggested that he would be more ruthless to avoid the match going to decision again, and noted where he had been weak over the 12 rounds.
“Obviously start a little faster. I think the fourth round I started pretty good, I got hit with a big punch in the fourth round. Regardless I thought I won the third. I think that was a slap in my face, it woke me up,” he acknowledged.
“I’m a lot stronger and bigger. I can’t wait. It’s not easy to make the weight, but I had my nutritionist here so I feel great and strong.”